Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 15.273227 17.512896 19.984700 22.918012 26.308064 30.107626 34.695787
2025-10-26 11.870138 14.677180 18.027744 22.332700 27.733398 34.305663 42.942721
2025-11-02 9.962562 12.995247 16.822679 22.028513 28.957673 37.909352 50.425323
2025-11-09 8.630346 11.758313 15.889704 21.777803 30.007238 41.178838 57.627324
2025-11-16 7.594097 10.740851 15.063103 21.477472 30.831071 44.090088 64.518080
2025-11-23 6.724878 9.831295 14.248813 21.044729 31.337441 46.504577 70.847059
2025-11-30 6.374924 9.614927 14.375956 21.954558 33.854134 52.050663 82.422643
2025-12-07 5.932540 9.204492 14.157852 22.291830 35.491845 56.375016 92.513823
2025-12-14 5.464417 8.701316 13.737702 22.248899 36.489259 59.740574 101.355243
2025-12-21 5.023296 8.194565 13.256388 22.043192 37.171368 62.615808 109.625005
2025-12-28 4.832671 8.074298 13.380871 22.841336 39.600139 68.634518 124.010805
2026-01-04 4.619592 7.893989 13.383509 23.419920 41.685872 74.235146 138.228914
2026-01-11 4.454040 7.784874 13.504302 24.229882 44.289914 81.069889 155.646171
2026-01-18 4.074975 7.267096 12.866698 23.608802 44.197374 82.926617 163.670571
2026-01-25 3.780371 6.874722 12.416732 23.286301 44.623043 85.779765 173.960995
2026-02-01 3.522911 6.528002 12.018832 23.020504 45.121465 88.802085 184.909679
2026-02-08 3.282946 6.193663 11.614884 22.702111 45.475710 91.554017 195.574335
2026-02-15 3.047665 5.848894 11.162185 22.243368 45.493574 93.605442 204.929451
2026-02-22 2.999363 5.863506 11.404356 23.207894 48.552428 102.297517 230.052103
2026-03-01 2.884961 5.737094 11.356480 23.565474 50.350148 108.460464 250.116133
2026-03-08 2.736461 5.529735 11.128406 23.519957 51.261577 112.759824 266.295255
2026-03-15 2.582194 5.298510 10.832981 23.301864 51.764721 116.183661 280.753991
2026-03-22 2.539324 5.296945 11.015555 24.148103 54.761749 125.619712 311.212753